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Jun.Prof. Dr. Jonas Dovern

Assistant Professor of MacroeconomicsDovern Portrait



 
Room: 01.010 (AWI)
Campus Bergheim
Bergheimer Str. 58
D-69115 Heidelberg
 
Phone: +49-(0)6221 -54-2958
Email: jonas.dovern@awi.uni-heidelberg.de
Office hour: Wednesday 11:00-12:00 h (please coordinate per email in advance)

 

News

I am searching for a student assistant (30h/month). First contract will start on October 1, 2017. More information can be found here.

My paper "Systematic Errors in Growth Expectations over the Business Cycle" (with Nils Jannsen) was accepted for publication by the International Journal of Forecasting.

My paper "The Long-term Distribution of Expected Inflation in the Euro Area: What Has Changed since the Great Recession?" was published as an ECB Working Paper.

During the summer term 2017 I teach a course on Monetary Theorie and Monetary Policy for Bachelor students.

My paper "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR was published by the Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.

My paper "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios" (with Matthias Hartmann) has been accepted for publication by Empirical Economics.

 

Curriculum Vitae

Education

  • 2006-2009: University of Kiel, Doctoral Program in Quantitative Economics (PhD).
  • 2005-2006: Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Advanced Studies Program in International Economic Policy Research.
  • 2004-2005: University of Maastricht, Minor Program in European Studies.
  • 2001-2005: University of Maastricht, Master Program in Econometrics.

Employment

  • Since 2014: Heidelberg University, Assistant Professor of Macroeconomics.
  • 2016: RWTH Aachen University, Visiting Professor of Economics.
  • 2013-2014: Heidelberg University, Postdoc for Macroeconomics.
  • 2009-2013: Kiel Economics Research & Forecasting, Managing Director.
  • 2012: International Monetary Fund, Visiting Researcher at the research department.
  • 2010-2011: Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Consultant to the research area "The environment and natural resources".
  • 2010: International Monetary Fund, Consultant to the research department.
  • 2010: Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), Consultant to IFMR in Tashkent (UZ).
  • 2005-2008: Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Researcher.

 

Research Interests

Interaction of Business Cycles and Financial Markets, Macroeconomic Forecasts and Expectations, Heterogeneity of Expectations, Time-Series Econometrics

 

Selected Publications

 

Selected Working Papers

 

Work in Progress

  • Robust Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts (joint with H. Manner)
  • Evaluation of Multivariate Density Forecasts for Energy Loads (joint with H. Manner)
  • Multivariate Evaluation of Macroeconomic Forecasts (joint with H. Manner and M. Wolters)
  • Analyzing the Long-Run Effects of Recessions
  • Inflation Anchoring in the Euro Area (joint with G. Kenny)
  • Uncertainty Shocks (joint with B. Born and Z. Enders)

 

Teaching

Introduction to Econometric Methods (Master), Institute for the World Economy, 2006/2007/2008

Introduction to Applied Macroeconometrics (Master), IFMR (Tashkent), 2010

Business-Cycle Theorie (Bachelor), Heidelberg University, 2013/14

Macroeconometric Forecasting (Master), Heidelberg University, 2014

Applied Macroeconometrics (Master), Heidelberg University, 2014/15

Economic Research with Matlab (Seminar, Bachelor), Heidelberg University, 2014/15

Macroeconomic Forecasting (Master), Heidelberg University, 2015

Empirical Macroeconomics (Master), Heidelberg University, 2015/16

Introduction to Macroeconomics (Bachelor), RWTH Aachen University, 2016

Advanced Macroeconomics (Master), RWTH Aachen University, 2016

Monetary Policy during the Financial Crisis (Seminar, Bachelor), Heidelberg University, 2016/17

Monetary Theory and Monetary Policy (Bachelor), Heidelberg University 2017

 

Refereeing

Applied Economics; Canadian Journal of Economics; Ecological Economics; Economic Journal; Economics Letters; Emerging Markets Finance and Trade; Empirical Economics; Energy Economics; Ensayos sobre Política Ecónomica; European Economic Review; German Economic Review; International Journal of Forecasting; International Review of Economics and Finance; Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik; Journal of Banking and Finance; Journal of Business & Economic Statistics; Journal of Economics & Business; Journal of Financial Stability; Journal of Forecasting; Journal of Macroeconomics; Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking; King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals; Macroeconomic Dynamics; Oesterreichische Nationalbank; Portuguese Economic Journal; Public Finance Review; Review of Economics & Statistics; Scandinavian Journal of Economics; Southern Economic Journal.

Editor: Email
Latest Revision: 2017-06-14
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